Author: matt9790

I won 60% bets (6 of 10 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
NE	10	BUF	24	NE +4.0	Did Not Cover
HOU	14	CLE	27	HOU +7.0	Did Not Cover
BAL	10	DEN	9	DEN +8.5	Covered
CHI	19	GB	28	GB -4.5	Covered
DAL	54	IND	19	IND +11.0	Did Not Cover
DET	40	JAX	14	DET +1.0	Covered
SF	33	MIA	17	SF -4.0	Covered
TB	17	NO	16	TB -4.0	Did Not Cover
LA	23	SEA	27	LA +7.5	Covered
PHI	35	TEN	10	PHI -5.5	Covered

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 48% bets (40 of 84 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%
12	1	9	10	10%
13	6	4	10	60%

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These are the results for this week’s bets:

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
BAL	10	DEN	9	DEN +8.5	Covered
DAL	54	IND	19	IND +11.0	Did Not Cover
NE	10	BUF	24	NE +4.0	Did Not Cover
TB	17	NO	16	TB -4.0	Did Not Cover
LA	23	SEA	27	LA +7.5	Covered
PHI	35	TEN	10	PHI -5.5	Covered
HOU	14	CLE	27	HOU +7.0	Did Not Cover
CHI	19	GB	28	GB -4.5	Covered
DET	40	JAX	14	DET +1.0	Covered
SF	33	MIA	17	SF -4.0	Covered

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These are the best to make for the week, based on historical models:

Kickoff	AwayTeam	HomeTeam	Bet	BetRank
Thu 08:15PM	BUF	NE	NE +4.0	5.450539
Sun 01:00PM	CLE	HOU	HOU +7.0	3.7009
Sun 01:00PM	DEN	BAL	DEN +8.5	1009.156202
Sun 01:00PM	GB	CHI	GB -4.5	107.496118
Sun 01:00PM	JAX	DET	DET +1.0	7.679298
Sun 01:00PM	NYJ	MIN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	PIT	ATL	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	TEN	PHI	PHI -5.5	6.753623
Sun 01:00PM	WAS	NYG	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:05PM	MIA	SF	SF -4.0	5.608065
Sun 04:05PM	SEA	LA	LA +7.5	1012.404337
Sun 04:25PM	KC	CIN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:25PM	LAC	LV	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 08:20PM	IND	DAL	IND +11.0	1008.019995
Mon 08:15PM	NO	TB	TB -4.0	4.755115

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I won 10% bets (1 of 10 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
WAS	19	ATL	13	ATL +4.5	Did Not Cover
DET	25	BUF	28	DET +9.5	Covered
NYJ	31	CHI	10	CHI +5.0	Did Not Cover
PHI	40	GB	33	GB +7.0	Did Not Cover
MIA	30	HOU	15	HOU +13.5	Did Not Cover
KC	26	LA	10	LA +14.5	Did Not Cover
SEA	34	LV	40	SEA -3.5	Did Not Cover
MIN	33	NE	26	NE +2.5	Did Not Cover
DAL	28	NYG	20	DAL -9.5	Did Not Cover
IND	17	PIT	24	IND -2.5	Did Not Cover

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 46% bets (34 of 74 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%
12	1	9	10	10%

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These are the results for this week’s bets:

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
KC	26	LA	10	LA +14.5	Did Not Cover
IND	17	PIT	24	IND -2.5	Did Not Cover
SEA	34	LV	40	SEA -3.5	Did Not Cover
MIN	33	NE	26	NE +2.5	Did Not Cover
PHI	40	GB	33	GB +7.0	Did Not Cover
NYJ	31	CHI	10	CHI +5.0	Did Not Cover
MIA	30	HOU	15	HOU +13.5	Did Not Cover
DAL	28	NYG	20	DAL -9.5	Did Not Cover
WAS	19	ATL	13	ATL +4.5	Did Not Cover
DET	25	BUF	28	DET +9.5	Covered

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These are the best to make for the week, based on historical models:

Kickoff	AwayTeam	HomeTeam	Bet	BetRank
Thu 12:30PM	BUF	DET	DET +9.5	3.825166
Thu 04:30PM	NYG	DAL	DAL -9.5	5.930136
Thu 08:20PM	NE	MIN	NE +2.5	108.327306
Sun 01:00PM	ATL	WAS	ATL +4.5	106.513887
Sun 01:00PM	BAL	JAX	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	CHI	NYJ	CHI +5.0	108.5997
Sun 01:00PM	CIN	TEN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	DEN	CAR	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	HOU	MIA	HOU +13.5	106.789536
Sun 01:00PM	TB	CLE	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:05PM	LAC	ARI	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:05PM	LV	SEA	SEA -3.5	5.863897
Sun 04:25PM	LA	KC	LA +14.5	1011.632093
Sun 04:25PM	NO	SF	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 08:20PM	GB	PHI	GB +7.0	4.22668
Mon 08:15PM	PIT	IND	IND -2.5	10.000968

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I won 33% bets (3 of 9 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
ATL	27	CHI	24	CHI +3.0	Did Not Cover
PIT	30	CIN	37	PIT +4.0	Did Not Cover
LAC	27	KC	30	LAC +6.5	Covered
NO	27	LA	20	LA +4.5	Did Not Cover
NE	10	NYJ	3	NE -3.0	Covered
IND	16	PHI	17	IND +6.5	Covered
ARI	10	SF	38	ARI +8.0	Did Not Cover
GB	17	TEN	27	GB -3.0	Did Not Cover
HOU	10	WAS	23	HOU +3.5	Did Not Cover

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 52% bets (33 of 64 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%

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These are the results for this week’s bets:

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
PIT	30	CIN	37	PIT +4.0	Did Not Cover
LAC	27	KC	30	LAC +6.5	Covered
ARI	10	SF	38	ARI +8.0	Did Not Cover
IND	16	PHI	17	IND +6.5	Covered
NE	10	NYJ	3	NE -3.0	Covered
HOU	10	WAS	23	HOU +3.5	Did Not Cover
NO	27	LA	20	LA +4.5	Did Not Cover
GB	17	TEN	27	GB -3.0	Did Not Cover
ATL	27	CHI	24	CHI +3.0	Did Not Cover

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These are the best to make for the week, based on historical models:

Kickoff	AwayTeam	HomeTeam	Bet	BetRank
Thu 08:15PM	TEN	GB	GB -3.0	5.352108
Sun 01:00PM	CAR	BAL	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	CHI	ATL	CHI +3.0	7.339111
Sun 01:00PM	CLE	BUF	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	DET	NYG	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	LA	NO	LA +4.5	1007.76841
Sun 01:00PM	NYJ	NE	NE -3.0	5.41321
Sun 01:00PM	PHI	IND	IND +6.5	106.851211
Sun 01:00PM	WAS	HOU	HOU +3.5	4.305781
Sun 04:05PM	LV	DEN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:25PM	CIN	PIT	PIT +4.0	3.596623
Sun 04:25PM	DAL	MIN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 08:20PM	KC	LAC	LAC +6.5	107.904233
Mon 08:15PM	SF	ARI	ARI +8.0	108.081442

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I won 58% bets (7 of 12 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
LA	17	ARI	27	LA -3.0	Did Not Cover
CAR	25	ATL	15	CAR +3.0	Covered
GB	31	DAL	28	GB +5.0	Covered
TEN	17	DEN	10	DEN +2.5	Did Not Cover
CHI	30	DET	31	CHI -3.0	Did Not Cover
NYG	24	HOU	16	HOU +5.0	Did Not Cover
LV	20	IND	25	IND +6.0	Covered
KC	27	JAX	17	KC -9.5	Covered
SF	22	LAC	16	LAC +7.0	Covered
BUF	30	MIN	33	BUF -4.5	Did Not Cover
PIT	20	NO	10	PIT +2.5	Covered
TB	21	SEA	16	TB -2.5	Covered

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 55% bets (30 of 55 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%

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