Results From Tuesday, January 29th

I picked 72.22% of games straight up and 55.56% against the spread correctly:

Away Team Spread Home Team Final Score To Win To Cover
Ball State 11.0 Buffalo BALL 59 – BUFF 83 Buffalo Buffalo
Boise State -2.0 Colorado State BSU 70 – CSU 68 Boise State Boise State
Eastern Michigan 3.0 Central Michigan EMU 82 – CMU 86 Central Michigan Eastern Michigan
Georgia 7.5 Arkansas UGA 60 – ARK 70 Georgia Georgia
Kansas 1.0 Texas KU 63 – TEX 73 Kansas Kansas
Kentucky -9.5 Vanderbilt UK 87 – VAN 52 Kentucky Kentucky
Lipscomb 2.5 Liberty LIP 79 – LIB 59 Liberty Lipscomb
Mississippi State 2.0 Alabama MSST 79 – ALA 83 Mississippi State Mississippi State
Missouri State -3.5 Valparaiso MOST 55 – VAL 54 Missouri State Valparaiso
Nevada -9.5 UNLV NEV 87 – UNLV 70 Nevada Nevada
North Carolina -11.0 Georgia Tech UNC 77 – GT 54 North Carolina North Carolina
Northwestern 7.5 Maryland NW 52 – MD 70 Maryland Northwestern
Ohio 5.0 Northern Illinois OHIO 60 – NIU 71 Ohio Ohio
Ohio State 9.0 Michigan OSU 49 – MICH 65 Michigan Ohio State
Pittsburgh 9.5 Clemson PITT 69 – CLEM 82 Clemson Pittsburgh
Tennessee -9.0 South Carolina TENN 92 – SC 70 Tennessee Tennessee
Toledo -2.5 Miami (OH) TOL 66 – M-OH 63 Toledo Toledo
Wisconsin 3.0 Nebraska WIS 62 – NEB 51 Wisconsin Wisconsin

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Results From Monday, January 28th

I picked 83.33% of games straight up and 58.33% against the spread correctly:

Away Team Spread Home Team Final Score To Win To Cover
Alcorn State 3.0 Alabama A&M ALCN 62 – AAMU 71 Alabama A&M Alcorn State
Baylor 5.0 Oklahoma BAY 77 – OKLA 47 Baylor Baylor
Bethune-Cookman -3.5 Coppin State BCU 91 – COPP 95 Bethune-Cookman Coppin State
Duke -15.5 Notre Dame DUKE 83 – ND 61 Duke Notre Dame
Florida A&M 4.0 Morgan State FAMU 72 – MORG 66 Florida A&M Florida A&M
Maryland-Eastern Shore 14.0 Howard UMES 57 – HOW 72 Howard Maryland-Eastern Shore
North Carolina Central -3.0 Savannah State NCCU 82 – SAV 78 North Carolina Central North Carolina Central
Prairie View A&M -1.5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff PV 79 – UAPB 63 Prairie View A&M Prairie View A&M
Southern 6.0 Alabama State SOU 65 – ALST 69 Alabama State Southern
Southern Utah 1.5 Northern Arizona SUU 77 – NAU 80 Southern Utah Southern Utah
TCU 6.0 Texas Tech TCU 65 – TTU 84 Texas Tech TCU
Texas Southern -11.5 Mississippi Valley State TXSO 65 – MVSU 62 Texas Southern Mississippi Valley State

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NCAAM Picks

Can I predict the results of NCAAM Games?

The short answer is no.

The long answer is that I can try. I created a big data model to pull in some data points about two teams playing against each other, then spit out a predicted score.  The idea is simple: to predict the score of an upcoming game, find a really similar game in the past and assume that the result of that game will be the result of the upcoming game. This is an example of a KNN Prediction Model, but the description is on the Projects Page. This page will be focused on the daily picks and running totals.

The current model is very similar to my old bracket creating model.  I have changed my data set since then, but the methodology is the same. 

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Results for Week #17

This week, my results:

Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 2 1 50.00%
Moneyline-Pick 4 2 50.00%
Spread-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Spread-Pick 4 4 100.00%

My bets from this week:

Year Week BetType Team Note Result
2018 17 Spread-Lock ATL 2.5 Won
2018 17 Spread-Lock DET 6 Won
2018 17 Spread-Lock GB 1.5 Lost
2018 17 Spread-Lock NYG 9 Won
2018 17 Spread-Pick BUF 13 Won
2018 17 Spread-Pick KC -2.5 Won
2018 17 Spread-Pick LAC -4.5 Won
2018 17 Spread-Pick PIT 6 Won
2018 17 Moneyline-Lock DET Won
2018 17 Moneyline-Lock TEN Lost
2018 17 Moneyline-Pick ATL Won
2018 17 Moneyline-Pick CHI Won
2018 17 Moneyline-Pick DEN Lost
2018 17 Moneyline-Pick GB Lost

For the whole year so far:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 8 5 62.50%
Moneyline-Pick 49 32 65.31%
Spread-Lock 31 17 54.84%
Spread-Pick 39 26 66.67%

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Results for Week #16

This week, my results:

Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 2 1 50.00%
Moneyline-Pick 4 3 75.00%
Spread-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Spread-Pick 4 2 50.00%

My bets from this week:

Year Week BetType Team Note Result
2018 16 Spread-Lock ATL 2.5 Won
2018 16 Spread-Lock DET 6 Lost
2018 16 Spread-Lock GB 1.5 Won
2018 16 Spread-Lock NYG 9 Won
2018 16 Spread-Pick BUF 13 Won
2018 16 Spread-Pick KC -2.5 Lost
2018 16 Spread-Pick LAC -4.5 Lost
2018 16 Spread-Pick PIT 6 Won
2018 16 Moneyline-Lock DET Lost
2018 16 Moneyline-Lock TEN Won
2018 16 Moneyline-Pick ATL Won
2018 16 Moneyline-Pick CHI Won
2018 16 Moneyline-Pick DEN Lost
2018 16 Moneyline-Pick GB Won

For the whole year so far:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 6 4 66.67%
Moneyline-Pick 45 30 66.67%
Spread-Lock 27 14 51.85%
Spread-Pick 35 22 62.86%

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Bets to Make for Week #16

Based on math and stuff, these are the bets I have for the week:

BetType Team Note
Moneyline-Lock DET
Moneyline-Lock TEN
Moneyline-Pick ATL
Moneyline-Pick CHI
Moneyline-Pick DEN
Moneyline-Pick GB
Spread-Lock ATL 2.5
Spread-Lock DET 6.0
Spread-Lock GB 1.5
Spread-Lock NYG 9.0
Spread-Pick BUF 13.0
Spread-Pick KC -2.5
Spread-Pick LAC -4.5
Spread-Pick PIT 6.0

Good luck!

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Results for Week #15

This week, my results:

Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Pick 2 1 50.00%
Spread-Lock 1 0 0.00%
Spread-Pick 6 4 66.67%

My bets from this week:

Year Week BetType Team Note Result
2018 15 Spread-Lock GB 6 Lost
2018 15 Spread-Pick CLE 3 Won
2018 15 Spread-Pick DAL 3 Lost
2018 15 Spread-Pick DET 3 Won
2018 15 Spread-Pick LAC 3.5 Won
2018 15 Spread-Pick MIA 7 Lost
2018 15 Spread-Pick WAS 7 Won
2018 15 Moneyline-Pick LAR Lost
2018 15 Moneyline-Pick NO Won

For the whole year so far:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Moneyline-Pick 41 27 65.85%
Spread-Lock 23 11 47.83%
Spread-Pick 31 20 64.52%

 

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Results for Week #14

This week, my results:

Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Pick 5 2 40.00%
Spread-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Spread-Pick 1 1 100.00%

My bets from this week:

Year Week BetType Team Note Result
2018 14 Spread-Lock CLE 1 Won
2018 14 Spread-Lock IND 5 Won
2018 14 Spread-Lock MIA 8 Won
2018 14 Spread-Lock MIN 3 Lost
2018 14 Spread-Pick DET -3 Won
2018 14 Moneyline-Pick DEN Lost
2018 14 Moneyline-Pick LAC Won
2018 14 Moneyline-Pick MIN Lost
2018 14 Moneyline-Pick NYG Won
2018 14 Moneyline-Pick PIT Lost

For the whole year so far:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Moneyline-Pick 39 26 66.67%
Spread-Lock 22 11 50.00%
Spread-Pick 25 16 64.00%

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Bets to Make for Week #14

Based on math and stuff, these are the bets I have for the week:

BetType Team Note
Moneyline-Pick DEN
Moneyline-Pick LAC
Moneyline-Pick MIN
Moneyline-Pick NYG
Moneyline-Pick PIT
Spread-Lock CLE 1
Spread-Lock IND 5
Spread-Lock MIA 8
Spread-Lock MIN 3
Spread-Pick DET -3

Good luck!

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