Well that was fun!
It is a good thing sports gambling isn’t legal yet, because my model was not ready for the big leagues. Although if it was good, I would just use it and not bother writing about it.
It turns out my math wasn’t any better than flipping a coin on the spreads, and I probably didn’t win enough moneyline bets to make a profit:
| Bet Type | Bets | Wins | Win Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline-Lock | 4 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Moneyline-Pick | 82 | 56 | 68.29% |
| Spread-Lock | 48 | 24 | 50.00% |
| Spread-Pick | 95 | 43 | 45.26% |
They say the NFL has no offseason. That’s true for me, as I will need a few months to improve the model.
See you in the fall of 2018!