Month: December 2022

I won 60% bets (6 of 10 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
NE	18	CIN	22	NE +3.0	Did Not Cover
LA	51	DEN	14	LA +2.5	Covered
CAR	37	DET	23	CAR +3.0	Covered
MIA	20	GB	26	GB +4.0	Covered
NYJ	3	JAX	19	NYJ -1.0	Did Not Cover
IND	3	LAC	20	IND +4.0	Did Not Cover
MIN	27	NYG	24	MIN -4.0	Did Not Cover
DAL	40	PHI	34	DAL -4.5	Covered
ARI	16	TB	19	ARI +6.5	Covered
SF	37	WAS	20	SF -7.0	Covered

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 47% bets (52 of 110 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%
12	1	9	10	10%
13	6	4	10	60%
14	3	4	7	43%
15	3	6	9	33%
16	6	4	10	60%

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These are the results for this week’s bets:

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
ARI	16	TB	19	ARI +6.5	Covered
IND	3	LAC	20	IND +4.0	Did Not Cover
SF	37	WAS	20	SF -7.0	Covered
LA	51	DEN	14	LA +2.5	Covered
DAL	40	PHI	34	DAL -4.5	Covered
MIA	20	GB	26	GB +4.0	Covered
NYJ	3	JAX	19	NYJ -1.0	Did Not Cover
MIN	27	NYG	24	MIN -4.0	Did Not Cover
CAR	37	DET	23	CAR +3.0	Covered
NE	18	CIN	22	NE +3.0	Did Not Cover

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These are the best to make for the week, based on historical models:

Kickoff	AwayTeam	HomeTeam	Bet	BetRank
Thu 08:15PM	JAX	NYJ	NYJ -1.0	7.858644
Sat 01:00PM	ATL	BAL	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 01:00PM	BUF	CHI	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 01:00PM	CIN	NE	NE +3.0	1008.224542
Sat 01:00PM	DET	CAR	CAR +3.0	6.431863
Sat 01:00PM	HOU	TEN	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 01:00PM	NO	CLE	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 01:00PM	NYG	MIN	MIN -4.0	6.368336
Sat 01:00PM	SEA	KC	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 04:05PM	WAS	SF	SF -7.0	4.6361
Sat 04:25PM	PHI	DAL	DAL -4.5	4.896927
Sat 08:15PM	LV	PIT	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	GB	MIA	GB +4.0	1013.31216
Sun 04:30PM	DEN	LA	LA +2.5	11.870992
Sun 08:20PM	TB	ARI	ARI +6.5	8.718503
Mon 08:15PM	LAC	IND	IND +4.0	7.603163

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I won 33% bets (3 of 9 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
NO	21	ATL	18	NO -4.5	Did Not Cover
TB	23	CIN	34	TB +3.5	Did Not Cover
NYJ	17	DET	20	NYJ -1.0	Did Not Cover
MIN	39	IND	36	IND +4.0	Covered
HOU	24	KC	30	HOU +14.0	Covered
BUF	32	MIA	29	BUF -7.0	Did Not Cover
LV	30	NE	24	NE -1.0	Did Not Cover
CHI	20	PHI	25	CHI +9.0	Covered
LAC	17	TEN	14	LAC -3.0	Did Not Cover

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 46% bets (46 of 100 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%
12	1	9	10	10%
13	6	4	10	60%
14	3	4	7	43%
15	3	6	9	33%

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These are the results for this week’s bets:

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
HOU	24	KC	30	HOU +14.0	Covered
BUF	32	MIA	29	BUF -7.0	Did Not Cover
TB	23	CIN	34	TB +3.5	Did Not Cover
NYJ	17	DET	20	NYJ -1.0	Did Not Cover
LV	30	NE	24	NE -1.0	Did Not Cover
LAC	17	TEN	14	LAC -3.0	Did Not Cover
NO	21	ATL	18	NO -4.5	Did Not Cover
MIN	39	IND	36	IND +4.0	Covered
CHI	20	PHI	25	CHI +9.0	Covered

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These are the best to make for the week, based on historical models:

Kickoff	AwayTeam	HomeTeam	Bet	BetRank
Thu 08:15PM	SF	SEA	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 01:00PM	IND	MIN	IND +4.0	5.188085
Sat 04:30PM	BAL	CLE	No Bet	No Bet
Sat 08:15PM	MIA	BUF	BUF -7.0	9.312759
Sun 01:00PM	ATL	NO	NO -4.5	9.342594
Sun 01:00PM	DAL	JAX	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	DET	NYJ	NYJ -1.0	8.16647
Sun 01:00PM	KC	HOU	HOU +14.0	6.29861
Sun 01:00PM	PHI	CHI	CHI +9.0	8.594493
Sun 01:00PM	PIT	CAR	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:05PM	ARI	DEN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:05PM	NE	LV	NE -1.0	1009.30491
Sun 04:25PM	CIN	TB	TB +3.5	108.209414
Sun 04:25PM	TEN	LAC	LAC -3.0	106.988279
Sun 08:20PM	NYG	WAS	No Bet	No Bet
Mon 08:15PM	LA	GB	No Bet	No Bet

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I won 43% bets (3 of 7 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
SEA	24	CAR	30	SEA -4.0	Did Not Cover
TEN	22	JAX	36	TEN -4.0	Did Not Cover
DEN	28	KC	34	DEN +9.5	Covered
LA	17	LV	16	LA +6.0	Covered
LAC	23	MIA	17	LAC +3.5	Covered
DET	34	MIN	23	MIN +2.5	Did Not Cover
BUF	20	NYJ	12	BUF -9.5	Did Not Cover

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 47% bets (43 of 91 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%
12	1	9	10	10%
13	6	4	10	60%
14	3	4	7	43%

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These are the results for this week’s bets:

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
SEA	24	CAR	30	SEA -4.0	Did Not Cover
BUF	20	NYJ	12	BUF -9.5	Did Not Cover
LA	17	LV	16	LA +6.0	Covered
DEN	28	KC	34	DEN +9.5	Covered
DET	34	MIN	23	MIN +2.5	Did Not Cover
LAC	23	MIA	17	LAC +3.5	Covered
TEN	22	JAX	36	TEN -4.0	Did Not Cover

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These are the best to make for the week, based on historical models:

Kickoff	AwayTeam	HomeTeam	Bet	BetRank
Thu 08:15PM	LV	LA	LA +6.0	1013.475361
Sun 01:00PM	BAL	PIT	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	CLE	CIN	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	HOU	DAL	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 01:00PM	JAX	TEN	TEN -4.0	9.048281
Sun 01:00PM	MIN	DET	MIN +2.5	1008.572107
Sun 01:00PM	NYJ	BUF	BUF -9.5	3.750237
Sun 01:00PM	PHI	NYG	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 04:05PM	KC	DEN	DEN +9.5	108.231676
Sun 04:25PM	CAR	SEA	SEA -4.0	6.971518
Sun 04:25PM	TB	SF	No Bet	No Bet
Sun 08:20PM	MIA	LAC	LAC +3.5	1011.169819
Mon 08:15PM	NE	ARI	No Bet	No Bet

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I won 60% bets (6 of 10 games) this week

Home_Team	Home_Score	Away_Team	Away_Score	My_Bet	Bet Result
NE	10	BUF	24	NE +4.0	Did Not Cover
HOU	14	CLE	27	HOU +7.0	Did Not Cover
BAL	10	DEN	9	DEN +8.5	Covered
CHI	19	GB	28	GB -4.5	Covered
DAL	54	IND	19	IND +11.0	Did Not Cover
DET	40	JAX	14	DET +1.0	Covered
SF	33	MIA	17	SF -4.0	Covered
TB	17	NO	16	TB -4.0	Did Not Cover
LA	23	SEA	27	LA +7.5	Covered
PHI	35	TEN	10	PHI -5.5	Covered

 

 

Over the full season, I have won 48% bets (40 of 84 games) this season

Week	Wins	Losses	Bets Placed	Bets Won
5	5	4	9	56%
6	5	4	9	56%
7	3	4	7	43%
8	7	4	11	64%
9	3	4	7	43%
10	7	5	12	58%
11	3	6	9	33%
12	1	9	10	10%
13	6	4	10	60%

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