February 2020 – Page 3 – Matt Fink's Site

Results From Tuesday, February 11th

February 12, 2020 matt9790 NCAAM

I picked 80.00% of games straight up and 60.00% against the spread correctly:
The ML Bets were: +1.30 units
The ATS Bets were: +0.64 units

Away Team	Spread	Home Team	Final Score	To Win	To Cover	ML Bet	ATS Bet
#13 Penn State	4.5	Purdue	PSU 88 – PUR 76	Purdue	Purdue	–	–
#12 Kentucky	-12.0	Vanderbilt	UK 78 – VAN 64	#12 Kentucky	#12 Kentucky	–	–
Mississippi State	-1.0	Ole Miss	MSST 58 – MISS 83	Mississippi State	Mississippi State	–	Mississippi State
Fordham	14.0	Davidson	FOR 49 – DAV 79	Davidson	Davidson	Fordham	–
Bowling Green	7.0	Akron	BGSU 59 – AKR 74	Akron	Akron	–	Akron
Miami (OH)	9.0	Toledo	M-OH 57 – TOL 65	Toledo	Miami (OH)	–	–
Eastern Michigan	6.5	Central Michigan	EMU 73 – CMU 70	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan	6.5	Ohio	WMU 61 – OHIO 73	Ohio	Western Michigan	–	–
St. Bonaventure	-8.0	Saint Joseph’s	SBU 74 – JOES 56	St. Bonaventure	Saint Joseph’s	–	Saint Joseph’s
Arkansas	2.5	Tennessee	ARK 61 – TENN 82	Tennessee	Arkansas	–	–
Northern #22 Illinois	7.5	Ball State	NIU 59 – BALL 63	Ball State	Northern #22 Illinois	–	–
Rhode Island	10.0	#6 Dayton	URI 67 – DAY 81	#6 Dayton	Rhode Island	–	–
North Carolina	-2.0	Wake Forest	UNC 57 – WAKE 74	Wake Forest	Wake Forest	–	Wake Forest
Nebraska	17.0	#9 Maryland	NEB 70 – MD 72	#9 Maryland	#9 Maryland	–	#9 Maryland
Michigan State	-2.0	#22 Illinois	MSU 70 – ILL 69	Michigan State	Michigan State	–	–
Missouri	11.0	#25 LSU	MIZ 78 – #25 LSU	#25 LSU	Missouri	–	–
Air Force	10.5	Boise State	AFA 57 – BSU 74	Boise State	Boise State	–	–
Notre Dame	4.5	Virginia	ND 49 – UVA 50	Virginia	Virginia	–	–
Utah State	-2.0	Colorado State	USU 75 – CSU 72	Utah State	Colorado State	–	–
New Mexico	16.0	#4 San Diego State	UNM 59 – SDSU 82	#4 San Diego State	#4 San Diego State	–	#4 San Diego State

Results From Monday, February 10th

February 11, 2020 matt9790 NCAAM

I picked 75.00% of games straight up and 46.67% against the spread correctly:
The ML Bets were: -1.00 units
The ATS Bets were: -3.18 units

Away Team	Spread	Home Team	Final Score	To Win	To Cover	ML Bet	ATS Bet
#8 Florida State	7.5	#7 Duke	FSU 65 – DUKE 70	#7 Duke	#7 Duke	–	–
Campbell	1.5	Longwood	CAM 56 – LONG 57	Campbell	Campbell	–	–
High Point	11.5	Gardner-Webb	HPU 55 – WEBB 86	Gardner-Webb	High Point	–	High Point
UNC Asheville	2.0	Hampton	UNCA 70 – HAMP 80	Hampton	UNC Asheville	–	–
Radford	7.5	Winthrop	RAD 81 – WIN 77	Winthrop	Radford	–	–
Colgate	2.0	Boston University	COLG 79 – BU 63	Boston University	Colgate	–	–
Howard	12.5	Bethune-Cookman	HOW 68 – BCU 87	Bethune-Cookman	Howard	Howard	Howard
Maryland-Eastern Shore	10.0	Coppin State	UMES 67 – COPP 68	Coppin State	Maryland-Eastern Shore	–	Maryland-Eastern Shore
Delaware State	10.0	South Carolina State	DSU 86 – SCST 100	South Carolina State	Delaware State	–	Delaware State
North Carolina Central	-1.0	Morgan State	NCCU 58 – MORG 57	North Carolina Central	Morgan State	–	–
Alcorn State	4.0	Grambling	ALCN 71 – GRAM 80	Grambling	Grambling	–	Grambling
Alabama State	-4.5	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	ALST 57 – UAPB 49	Alabama State	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	–	Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#1 Baylor	-6.0	Texas	BAY 52 – TEX 45	#1 Baylor	Texas	–	–
Portland State	9.0	Northern Colorado	PRST 83 – UNCO 71	Northern Colorado	Northern Colorado	–	Northern Colorado
TCU	10.0	#24 Texas Tech	TCU 42 – TTU 88	#24 Texas Tech	TCU	–	–
Southern	3.0	Jackson State	SOU 51 – JKST 67	Jackson State	Jackson State	–	–

Results From Sunday, February 9th

February 10, 2020 matt9790 NCAAM

I picked 66.67% of games straight up and 33.33% against the spread correctly:
The ML Bets were: -1.00 units
The ATS Bets were: -4.09 units

Away Team	Spread	Home Team	Final Score	To Win	To Cover	ML Bet	ATS Bet
#19 Butler	3.5	Marquette	BUT 57 – MARQ 76	Marquette	#19 Butler	–	#19 Butler
Cincinnati	-2.0	UConn	CIN 71 – CONN 72	Cincinnati	UConn	–	–
Samford	18.0	UNC Greensboro	SAM 67 – UNCG 95	UNC Greensboro	UNC Greensboro	–	–
Ohio State	1.5	Wisconsin	OSU 57 – WIS 70	Wisconsin	Wisconsin	–	–
Tulsa	2.0	UCF	TLSA 75 – UCF 83	Tulsa	Tulsa	–	Tulsa
Iona	2.5	Fairfield	IONA 78 – FAIR 54	Fairfield	Fairfield	–	–
Saint Peter’s	4.5	Monmouth	SPU 81 – MONM 69	Monmouth	Saint Peter’s	–	–
Niagara	9.5	Rider	NIAG 58 – RID 73	Rider	Niagara	–	–
Princeton	-3.5	Columbia	PRIN 81 – CLMB 74	Princeton	Columbia	–	–
Pennsylvania	-5.0	Cornell	PENN 79 – COR 73	Pennsylvania	Cornell	–	Cornell
Manhattan	1.5	Quinnipiac	MAN 65 – QUIN 63	Quinnipiac	Manhattan	–	–
Evansville	12.5	Bradley	EVAN 58 – BRAD 69	Bradley	Evansville	Evansville	Evansville
George Mason	1.5	UMass	GMU 67 – MASS 69	UMass	George Mason	–	–
Wichita State	5.0	#25 Houston	WICH 43 – HOU 76	#25 Houston	Wichita State	–	–
Valparaiso	8.5	Loyola Chicago	VAL 68 – L-IL 70	Loyola Chicago	Loyola Chicago	–	Loyola Chicago
Notre Dame	1.0	Clemson	ND 61 – CLEM 57	Notre Dame	Notre Dame	–	–
Washington	-3.0	Washington State	WASH 67 – WSU 79	Washington	Washington	–	Washington
Northwestern	11.0	Rutgers	NW 73 – RUTG 77	Rutgers	Northwestern	–	–

End of the 2019 Season

February 9, 2020February 9, 2020 matt9790 NFL

What a season! My predictions were pretty terrible until the middle of the year, when I rewrote the prediction logic from the ground up before making the picks in Week 11.

Since Week 11, I picked 66% correctly against the spread, which would be hugely profitable. Weirdly, I wasn’t able to do much better picking the straight up winners.

This off season, I am going to pull in several new data sets into my prediction model, but keep most of the same logic in place. Several of my current data sets need manual intervention frequently to keep working, and my goal is to automate this completely.

While you wait for the next season, be sure to check out my NCAA Basketball picks and the MLB TweetBots!

College Basketball 2019-2020

February 9, 2020February 9, 2020 matt9790 NCAAM

Now that the “big game” is over, it is time for me to shift my focus to college basketball. It seems like this year is a dumpster fire, and I have no idea if that means my predictions will be much better or much worse. Only one way to find out!

I am converting my entire process from python 2 to python 3, and I expect it to go poorly for the first few weeks. Everything should be back to normal before conference tournaments.

Good luck out there!