Results From Wednesday, January 30th

I picked 67.74% of games straight up and 54.84% against the spread correctly:

Away Team Spread Home Team Final Score To Win To Cover
Air Force 10.5 San Diego State AFA 51 – SDSU 66 San Diego State Air Force
Bradley 4.0 Evansville BRAD 81 – EVAN 73 Bradley Bradley
CSU Northridge 7.5 CSU Fullerton CSUN 71 – CSF 78 CSU Fullerton CSU Northridge
Canisius -2.0 Niagara CAN 70 – NIAG 78 Canisius Canisius
Fordham 3.0 George Washington FOR 61 – GW 79 George Washington Fordham
Fresno State -12.0 Wyoming FRES 75 – WYO 62 Fresno State Fresno State
Illinois 6.0 Minnesota ILL 75 – MINN 86 Minnesota Illinois
Illinois State 5.0 Drake ILST 69 – DRKE 55 Drake Illinois State
Indiana -2.5 Rutgers IND 58 – RUTG 66 Indiana Indiana
Indiana State 5.5 Southern Illinois INST 73 – SIU 88 Indiana State Indiana State
LSU -6.0 Texas A&M LSU 72 – TA&M 57 LSU LSU
Louisville -10.0 Wake Forest LOU 82 – WAKE 54 Louisville Louisville
Marquette 2.5 Butler MARQ 76 – BUT 58 Marquette Marquette
Memphis -2.0 Tulsa MEM 79 – TLSA 95 Memphis Memphis
Missouri 14.5 Auburn MIZ 58 – AUB 92 Auburn Missouri
Northern Iowa 10.0 Loyola-Chicago UNI 60 – LCHI 61 Loyola-Chicago Northern Iowa
Ole Miss 5.5 Florida MISS 86 – FLA 90 Florida Florida
Providence 3.5 Seton Hall PROV 63 – HALL 65 Providence Providence
Rhode Island -2.0 Duquesne URI 72 – DUQ 75 Rhode Island Rhode Island
Richmond 10.0 Saint Louis RICH 84 – SLU 81 Saint Louis Richmond
SMU 3.0 Wichita State SMU 83 – WICH 85 Wichita State SMU
San Jose St 26.0 Utah State SJSU 73 – USU 103 Utah State Utah State
St. John’s 4.5 Creighton SJU 83 – CREI 67 St. John’s St. John’s
Syracuse -3.0 Boston College SYR 77 – BC 71 Syracuse Syracuse
UAB -5.5 Middle Tennessee UAB 65 – MTSU 71 UAB UAB
UCLA -5.5 Washington State UCLA 87 – WSU 67 UCLA UCLA
UMass -1.0 La Salle MASS 51 – LAS 60 UMass UMass
USC 8.0 Washington USC 62 – WASH 75 Washington USC
Villanova -7.5 DePaul VILL 86 – DEP 74 Villanova Villanova
Virginia Tech -8.5 Miami VT 82 – MIA 70 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech
West Virginia 12.0 Iowa State WVU 68 – ISU 93 Iowa State West Virginia

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Results From Tuesday, January 29th

I picked 72.22% of games straight up and 55.56% against the spread correctly:

Away Team Spread Home Team Final Score To Win To Cover
Ball State 11.0 Buffalo BALL 59 – BUFF 83 Buffalo Buffalo
Boise State -2.0 Colorado State BSU 70 – CSU 68 Boise State Boise State
Eastern Michigan 3.0 Central Michigan EMU 82 – CMU 86 Central Michigan Eastern Michigan
Georgia 7.5 Arkansas UGA 60 – ARK 70 Georgia Georgia
Kansas 1.0 Texas KU 63 – TEX 73 Kansas Kansas
Kentucky -9.5 Vanderbilt UK 87 – VAN 52 Kentucky Kentucky
Lipscomb 2.5 Liberty LIP 79 – LIB 59 Liberty Lipscomb
Mississippi State 2.0 Alabama MSST 79 – ALA 83 Mississippi State Mississippi State
Missouri State -3.5 Valparaiso MOST 55 – VAL 54 Missouri State Valparaiso
Nevada -9.5 UNLV NEV 87 – UNLV 70 Nevada Nevada
North Carolina -11.0 Georgia Tech UNC 77 – GT 54 North Carolina North Carolina
Northwestern 7.5 Maryland NW 52 – MD 70 Maryland Northwestern
Ohio 5.0 Northern Illinois OHIO 60 – NIU 71 Ohio Ohio
Ohio State 9.0 Michigan OSU 49 – MICH 65 Michigan Ohio State
Pittsburgh 9.5 Clemson PITT 69 – CLEM 82 Clemson Pittsburgh
Tennessee -9.0 South Carolina TENN 92 – SC 70 Tennessee Tennessee
Toledo -2.5 Miami (OH) TOL 66 – M-OH 63 Toledo Toledo
Wisconsin 3.0 Nebraska WIS 62 – NEB 51 Wisconsin Wisconsin

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Results From Monday, January 28th

I picked 83.33% of games straight up and 58.33% against the spread correctly:

Away Team Spread Home Team Final Score To Win To Cover
Alcorn State 3.0 Alabama A&M ALCN 62 – AAMU 71 Alabama A&M Alcorn State
Baylor 5.0 Oklahoma BAY 77 – OKLA 47 Baylor Baylor
Bethune-Cookman -3.5 Coppin State BCU 91 – COPP 95 Bethune-Cookman Coppin State
Duke -15.5 Notre Dame DUKE 83 – ND 61 Duke Notre Dame
Florida A&M 4.0 Morgan State FAMU 72 – MORG 66 Florida A&M Florida A&M
Maryland-Eastern Shore 14.0 Howard UMES 57 – HOW 72 Howard Maryland-Eastern Shore
North Carolina Central -3.0 Savannah State NCCU 82 – SAV 78 North Carolina Central North Carolina Central
Prairie View A&M -1.5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff PV 79 – UAPB 63 Prairie View A&M Prairie View A&M
Southern 6.0 Alabama State SOU 65 – ALST 69 Alabama State Southern
Southern Utah 1.5 Northern Arizona SUU 77 – NAU 80 Southern Utah Southern Utah
TCU 6.0 Texas Tech TCU 65 – TTU 84 Texas Tech TCU
Texas Southern -11.5 Mississippi Valley State TXSO 65 – MVSU 62 Texas Southern Mississippi Valley State

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NCAAM Picks

Can I predict the results of NCAAM Games?

The short answer is no.

The long answer is that I can try. I created a big data model to pull in some data points about two teams playing against each other, then spit out a predicted score.  The idea is simple: to predict the score of an upcoming game, find a really similar game in the past and assume that the result of that game will be the result of the upcoming game. This is an example of a KNN Prediction Model, but the description is on the Projects Page. This page will be focused on the daily picks and running totals.

The current model is very similar to my old bracket creating model.  I have changed my data set since then, but the methodology is the same. 

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