2017 Year End Review

Well that was fun!

It is a good thing sports gambling isn’t legal yet, because my model was not ready for the big leagues.  Although if it was good, I would just use it and not bother writing about it.

It turns out my math wasn’t any better than flipping a coin on the spreads, and I probably didn’t win enough moneyline bets to make a profit:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Moneyline-Pick 82 56 68.29%
Spread-Lock 48 24 50.00%
Spread-Pick 95 43 45.26%

 

They say the NFL has no offseason.  That’s true for me, as I will need a few months to improve the model.

 

See you in the fall of 2018!

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Results for Week #17

This week, my results:

Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Pick 11 7 63.64%
Spread-Lock 5 3 60.00%
Spread-Pick 4 2 50.00%

My bets from last week:

Year Week BetType Team Note Result
2017 17 Spread-Pick PHI 3 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Lock HOU 4 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Lock SF 1.5 Won
2017 17 Spread-Lock DAL -3 Won
2017 17 Spread-Pick LAR -1.5 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Pick KC 3 Won
2017 17 Spread-Lock NYJ 15.5 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Lock CIN 10 Won
2017 17 Spread-Pick CLE 13 Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick ATL Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick CAR Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick CHI Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick DAL Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick LAC Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick LAR Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick NE Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick NYG Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick PHI Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick PIT Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick SF Won

For the whole year so far:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Moneyline-Pick 82 56 68.29%
Spread-Lock 48 24 50.00%
Spread-Pick 95 43 45.26%

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Results for Week #17

This week, my results:

Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Pick 11 7 63.64%
Spread-Lock 5 3 60.00%
Spread-Pick 4 2 50.00%

My bets from last week:

Year Week BetType Team Note Result
2017 17 Spread-Pick PHI 3 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Lock HOU 4 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Lock SF 1.5 Won
2017 17 Spread-Lock DAL -3 Won
2017 17 Spread-Pick LAR -1.5 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Pick KC 3 Won
2017 17 Spread-Lock NYJ 15.5 Lost
2017 17 Spread-Lock CIN 10 Won
2017 17 Spread-Pick CLE 13 Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick ATL Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick CAR Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick CHI Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick DAL Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick LAC Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick LAR Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick NE Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick NYG Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick PHI Lost
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick PIT Won
2017 17 Moneyline-Pick SF Won

For the whole year so far:

Bet Type Bets Wins Win Percentage
Moneyline-Lock 4 3 75.00%
Moneyline-Pick 71 49 69.01%
Spread-Lock 43 21 48.84%
Spread-Pick 91 41 45.05%

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